So in the wake of not getting up to speed with my college football data, I HAVE BEEN working on this page! NFL data is a lot simpler for me to compile than college football, mostly because there are 100 less professional teams.
So what is this tab for? A running update on my playoff predictions versus how they stand currently. I update my data roughly every four weeks, which comes as convenient for me to publish this as I just updated through Week 9, which means the next update will be Week 14, which will then serve as the final run to the playoffs. At the bottom where there is the breakdown by division, Expected Wins means the wins that my data gives them by % value, Actual Wins means that if the Expected Win value is greater than .5 (Meaning a 50% chance of winning that individual game), then it rounds up to count it as 1 instead of whatever % value, and Average Wins is the average between the two, which is what is used to determine Playoff Standings. If there is a tiebreaker (I.e Panthers and Cardinals are tied in my data) it is broken by Expected Wins first.
Current Standings (After Week 14):
AFC Playoffs:
1) New England Patriots 11-2. East Champions (Clinched Division)
2) Cincinnati Bengals 10-3. North Champion
3) Denver Broncos 10-3. West Champion
4) Indianapolis Colts 6-7. South Champion
5) Kansas City Chiefs 8-5. Wild Card (Tiebreakers)
6) New York Jets 8-5. Wild Card (Tiebreakers)
In the hunt: Pittsburgh Steelers 8-5, Houston Texans 6-7 (Division only), Jacksonville Jaguars 5-8 (Division only)
NFC Playoffs:
1) Carolina Panthers 13-0. South Champion (Clinched Division and Bye)
2) Arizona Cardinals 11-2. West Champion (Clinched Wild Card Minimum)
3) Green Bay Packers 9-4. North Champion
4) Washington Redskins 6-7. East Champion
5) Seattle Seahawks 8-5. Wild Card (Tiebreakers)
6) Minnesota Vikings 8-5. Wild Card
In the hunt: Philadelphia Eagles 6-7 (Division Only), New York Giants 6-7(Division Only)
PREDICTIONS: (Updated After Week 14)
AFC:
1) New England Patriots 13.55-2.45. East Champion
2) Denver Broncos 11.95-4.05. West Champion
3) Cincinnati Bengals 11.9-4.1. North Champion
4) Houston Texans 7.8-8.2. South Champion
5) Kansas City Chiefs 10.7-5.3. Wild Card
6) Pittsburgh Steelers 10.45-5.55. Wild Card
NFC:
1) Carolina Panthers 15.55-.45. South Champion
2) Arizona Cardinals 13.6-2.4. West Champion
3) Green Bay Packers 10.7-5.3. North Champion
4) New York Giants 7.85-8.15. East Champion
5) Seattle Seahawks 10.05-5.95. Wild Card
6) Minnesota Vikings 9.2-6.8. Wild Card
Division by Division Breakdown (Expected Wins, Actual Wins, Average Wins)
(Yellow Text = Division Champion, Green Text = Wild Card Position, Blue Text = Division or Wild Card Contender, Red Text = Eliminated)
AFC North:
1) Cincinnati Bengals 11.8, 12, 11.9
2) Pittsburgh Steelers 9.9, 11, 10.45
3) Baltimore Ravens 4.9, 4, 4.45
4) Cleveland Browns 3.6, 3, 3.3
AFC East:
1) New England Patriots 13.1, 14, 13.55
2) New York Jets 9.6, 10, 9.8
3) Buffalo Bills 7.9, 8, 7.95
4) Miami Dolphins 6.7, 7, 6.85
AFC South:
1) Houston Texans 7.6, 8, 7.8
2) Indianapolis Colts 7.4, 7, 7.2
3) Jacksonville Jaguars 6.3, 6, 6.15
4) Tennessee Titans 3.1, 3, 3.05
AFC West:
1) Denver Broncos 11.9, 12, 11.95
2) Kansas City Chiefs 10.4, 11, 10.7
3) Oakland Raiders 7.4, 7, 7.2
4) San Diego Chargers 3.6, 3, 3.3
NFC North:
1) Green Bay Packers 10.4, 11, 10.7
2) Minnesota Vikings 9.4, 9, 9.2
3) Chicago Bears 6.3, 6, 6.15
4) Detroit Lions 5.1, 5, 5.05
NFC East:
1) New York Giants 7.7, 8, 7.85
2) Philadelphia Eagles 7.4, 7, 7.2
3) Washington Redskins 7, 6, 6.5
4) Dallas Cowboys 5.2, 5, 5.1
NFC South:
1) Carolina Panthers 15.1, 16, 15.55
2) Atlanta Falcons 7.4, 7, 7.2
3) Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, 7, 7
4) New Orleans Saints 6.7, 7, 6.85
NFC West:
1) Arizona Cardinals 13.2, 14, 13.6
2) Seattle Seahawks 10.1, 10, 10.05
3) St Louis Rams 6.4, 6, 6.2
4) San Fransisco 49ers 5.4, 5, 5.2
Playoff Predictions after Week 14 (Final Stretch)
AFC:
1) New England Patriots
2) Denver Broncos
3) Cincinnati Bengals
4) Houston Texans
5) Kansas City Chiefs
6) Pittsburgh Steelers
NFC:
1) Carolina Panthers
2) Arizona Cardinals
3) Green Bay Packers
4) New York Giants
5) Seattle Seahawks
6) Minnesota Vikings
Playoff Predictions after Week 9
AFC:
1) Cincinnati Bengals
2) New England Patriots
3) Denver Broncos
4) Indianapolis Colts
5) New York Jets
6) Pittsburgh Steelers
NFC:
1) Carolina Panthers
2) Arizona Cardinals
3) Green Bay Packers
4) Philadelphia Eagles
5) Atlanta Falcons
6) Minnesota Vikings
Playoff Predictions after Week 4
AFC:
1) Denver Broncos
2) Cincinnati Bengals
3) New York Jets
4) Tennessee Titans
5) New England Patriots
6) Pittsburgh Steelers
NFC:
1) Carolina Panthers
2) Arizona Cardinals
3) Green Bay Packers
4) New York Giants
5) Atlanta Falcons
6) Seattle Seahawks
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